The Playoff Forecast - Week 32 @ Charlotte Roval

Become a Patron!

Welcome to our NASCAR Cup Series Projections page.  The Playoff Forecast is where you will find the probability of each 2021 charter making the playoffs, their chances of advancing to future rounds, and also their odds of winning the Championship. 

 

Projections are calculated by simulating the 2021 Cup Series schedule 50,000 times, using a top-secret predictive formula that is based on 3 important factors: Driver History @ Each Track, Driver Recent Overall History, and Team Performance.

 

Since the playoffs have officially started, only the drivers that have are still alive will be tracked.  This will update with each round of the playoffs. 

 

This page will be updated every week, incorporating each week’s real results to (ideally) make the formula more accurate.  Keep checking back to see how your favorite driver’s odds change from week to week!

 

Forecast – After Race 31

 

 

Projected Winner of the Bank of America ROVAL 400 – Charlotte Roval

 

 

 

 

 

 

Don’t forget to follow us on Twitter @StatChat_RR

Or you can email directly: acarabine@racingrefresh.com

Get all your StatChat Merch from the Racing Refresh online store!

Become a Racing Refresh Patron! Find us on Patreon!

 

Is there an error? Is there a stat missing that you’d like to see? Let us know!

 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Letter From The Editor - ''My Personal Story, and Racing Refresh's Commitment to Motorsports Diversity."

Image
I have been a true student of motorsports since year 2000 when my uncle moved to Columbus, OH and introduced me to Big and Little E . Prior to my pursuit of racing knowledge, I have distinct memories of watching Dennis Anderson's monstrous Grave Digger, or King Kenny Bernstein's iconic Budweiser livery win countless races. I remember the rainbow assortment of Pontiac Trans-Ams race in the prestigious IROC events. I sat in amazement as the greatest racer that ever lived, Michael Schumacher won what felt like every start of his career. I always enjoyed motorsports, but it was the off-season of 2000-01 that made me crave and live for more each day.  My uncle had diecast cars that sat on shelves, each with their own story. While they were a wonderful collection, I think I assumed price tags in the millions of dollars as a child. Earnhardt's K2 , old Chevy hot rods, Busch Series this, Winston Cup Series that, he had a wonderful collection. There was one driver he highlighted to
Read more

StatChat - NASCAR Cup Series @ Kansas 2

Image
Become a Patron! The NASCAR Cup Series returns to Kansas Speedway this weekend.  It is a 1.5-mile tri-oval with progressive banking in the corners.  The track opened in 2001, with the inaugural race being won by Jeff Gordon.   This weekend’s race is called the “Hollywood Casino 400,” and is set to be 267 laps (400.5 miles).  Stage breaks will occur at 80 – 160 - 267, with a competition caution at lap 25.  The fuel window is approximately 57-60 laps.   NASCAR has run 11,620.09 miles so far this year.  Denny Hamlin has completed 99.92% of them, the most of any driver.   Top 5 Career Average Finishers at Kansas: Kevin Harvick 9.10 over 31 races Chase Elliott 10.45 over 11 races Brad Keselowski 11.26 over 23 races Martin Truex Jr. 12.96 over 26 races Tyler Reddick 13.50 over 4 races   Bottom 5 Career Average Finishers at Kansas: Cody Ware 38.00 over 2 races Joey Gase 35.75 over 8
Read more