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Become a Patron! After last week’s race at Richmond, this Saturday the NASCAR Cup Series will return to another short track.  Bristol Motor Speedway is a 0.533-mile oval, known for its high banking in the corners, and all-concrete surface.  It was built in 1960 and held its first NASCAR race one year later.  Only 19 of the 42 cars that started the race finished it.      This weekend’s race is called the “Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race,” and is set to be 500 laps (266.5 miles).  Stage breaks will occur at 125 – 250 – 500, with a competition caution at lap 40.  The fuel window is approximately 165-180 laps, though teams will likely want to pit sooner due to tire wear.   NASCAR has run 9,892.35 miles so far this year.  Denny Hamlin has completed 99.91% of them, the most of any driver.   Top 5 Career Average Finishers at Bristol: Chase Elliott 11.91 over 11 races Erik Jones 12.56 over 9 races ...

Become a Patron! (Photo Source : Twitter.com/NASCAR_Xfinity)

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Become a Patron! Welcome to our NASCAR Cup Series Projections page.  The Playoff Forecast is where you will find the probability of each 2021 charter making the playoffs, their chances of advancing to future rounds, and also their odds of winning the Championship.    Projections are calculated by simulating the 2021 Cup Series schedule 50,000 times, using a top-secret predictive formula that is based on 3 important factors: Driver History @ Each Track, Driver Recent Overall History, and Team Performance.   Since the playoffs have officially started, only the drivers that have are still alive will be tracked.  This will update with each round of the playoffs.    This page will be updated every week, incorporating each week’s real results to (ideally) make the formula more accurate.  Keep checking back to see how your favorite driver’s odds change from week to week!   Forecast – After Race 28     Projected Winne...

Become a Patron! William Byron currently sits 18 points outside of the next playoff round.  When the NASCAR Cup Series visits Bristol Motor Speedway this weekend, it will be Byron’s final chance to make up the gap.    The driver of the Hendrick Motorsports #24 Axalta Chevrolet hasn’t had much go his way during this first round of the playoffs.  “We’ve had the most adversity the last two weeks that we could possibly want,” said Byron.  After crashing out of Darlington, and finishing two laps down in 19 th at Richmond, Byron has his work cut out for him.    Mathematically speaking, he doesn’t necessarily need to win the race at Bristol this weekend, but it would certainly make things easier.  Byron says he aims to win every race, so his approach won’t be any different than any other week.  “Bristol’s always tough, I feel like you’ve just got to try and score as many points as possible.  There’s obviously a lot of opportunity wi...

Become a Patron! (Photo Source : Twitter.com/BMSupdates)

Welcome to our NASCAR Cup Series Projections page.  The Playoff Forecast is where you will find the probability of each 2021 charter making the playoffs, their chances of advancing to future rounds, and also their odds of winning the Championship.    Projections are calculated by simulating the 2021 Cup Series schedule 50,000 times, using a top-secret predictive formula that is based on 3 important factors: Driver History @ Each Track, Driver Recent Overall History, and Team Performance.   This page will be updated every week, incorporating each week’s real results to (ideally) make the formula more accurate.  Keep checking back to see how your favorite driver’s odds change from week to week!     Forecast – After Race 6     Projected Winner of the Food City Dirt Race @ Bristol*     *note: as this is the first race on dirt in 50 years, the race-specific projection for this week’s Food City Dirt Race are...

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       As the 2020 regular season for the NASCAR Xfinity Series drew to a close, we were treated with a solid race at the Last Great Colosseum.  The young Xfinity drivers never cease to put on a show, and Friday Night was no exception.  This is one of the few times this season fans have been in attendance at an Xfinity event since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.  These fans were definitely treated to a Bristol classic and were certainly not disappointed.  While 11 of the 12 playoff drivers came into the race having already clinched a spot into the playoffs, the playoff drama did indeed add some excitement to the short track racing.  NASCAR decided to add in the PJ1 Traction Compound to the track which did enhance the racing product.  Fans have been extremely critical of the PJ1 at other tracks, but Bristol has seemed to be the exception.  The compound helped to provide multiple grooves of racing while still keeping that old scho...

    Saturday night was a throwback of sorts, a vintage-feeling Bristol Night Race that was dominated by Kevin Harvick. The bottom line returned to fame as the bump and run was the best method for passing, especially the first 400 laps of this race. Overall an underwhelming Bristol race considering modern day multi-grooved Bristol barely showed up, and the bump and run being a forgotten art, but the finish really saved this race.           Chase Elliott won stage one, but Kyle Busch was in hot pursuit after he started in the back for failing pre race inspection. Stage one was fairly clean except for contact between Jimmie Johnson and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. while they were trying to pass a lapped car. Stage one felt like the calm  before the storm. Spoiler alert...the storm never showed.      Stage two was the Kyle Busch show. He put on a dominant performance, and the crazy part is, this was the best he's looked all season. There wa...

First reported by Jordan Bianchi of The Athletic, NASCAR's famed All-Star Event will be at its third location in three years. The event will move to Texas Motor Speedway in 2021. In exchange for the All-Star date, they will give up one of their regular season dates in the 2021 Cup Series schedule. The event was hosted by Charlotte for over 30 consecutive seasons before being hosted by Bristol Motor Speedway in 2020. All three tracks are owned by parent company Speedway Motorsports.  The new opening in the schedule may allow for NASCAR's first event at Circuit of The Americas (COTA) in Austin. ( Twitter.com/Jeff_Gluck )

(Photo Source : Twitter.com/StewartHaasRcng) Kevin Harvick's #4 Busch Light Stewart-Haas Racing Ford held off Kyle Busch for the win at Bristol Motor Speedway's 0.533 mile oval Saturday night. Harvick led just under half of the 500 miles (226) while Busch led 159. Pole sitter Brad Keselowski led 82 laps and finished 34th after losing power steering and going several laps down.  There were five cautions for 50 laps. 2 Cautions for stage breaks and 3 for on-track incident. This win is Kevin Harvick's 9th win of the 2020 season, second at Bristol Motor Speedway, and 58th total.  Saturday night's event also happened to be the first elimination race of the playoffs, where they moved from 16 playoff drivers to 12 playoff drivers. The four drivers that did not make it were: Ryan Blaney, Cole Custer, Matt DiBenedetto, and William Byron.  Top 5: 1. Kevin Harvick 2. Kyle Busch 3. Erik Jones 4. Tyler Reddick 5. Aric Almirola Notables 7. Chase Elliot 15. Kurt Busch 34. Brad Keselow...

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  Two time NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Busch was expected to be a front runner this weekend at Bristol's annual night race. He, along with his two teammates Denny Hamlin and Erik Jones will have their work cut out tonight. The three Joe Gibbs Racing teammates failed inspection prior to the race and are going to start from the rear of the field.  Denny Hamlin has 6 wins in 28 starts heading into Bristol, while Busch and Jones are winless. This is the third consecutive race Busch's #18 Toyota has failed inspection, also doing so at Richmond and Darlington. 

     What a week for Sam Mayer! The seventeen-year-old rookie won his first ever truck race at Bristol a few days after announcing he would race for the Xfinity Series powerhouse JRM in the second half of 2021 and 2022.      In a race dominated by the GMS trucks, and the young stars of the Truck Series, some of NASCAR's best shined bright under the lights of Bristol. Even though track position seemed to matter more than other factors, it created interesting strategy calls when drivers were trying to position themselves for the final stage.     Stage 1 was dominated by Brett Moffitt; he took the lead early on in the race and never looked back. GMS went first through fourth at the end of stage 1. Early in stage 1 there was an incident between Stewart Freissen and Austin Hill; Hill ended up with a 25th place finish 5 laps down.      Stage 2 was dominated by another GMS driver, Tyler Ankrum. At the stage break, half of the field pitted,...

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  (Photo Source : Twitter.com/NASCAR_Trucks) NASCAR Truck Series Rookie Sam Mayer won the UNOH 200 Presented by Ohio Logistics. The race is his first win in 7 career starts. Full race results below. 

      NASCAR has given us fans a massive gift. The Bristol night race has been moved from a late summer classic to an early playoff must watch. I will preview each of the 16 playoff drivers and rank them into one of four categories. The categories are a favorite, a good bet, a long shot, and save your money.      Kevin Harvick -  The regular season champion enters Bristol having already advanced to the Round of 12 via his win at Darlington. Harvick has been one of the two dominant drivers this season. Bristol however is good but not great track for him. He has three wins, and an average finish of 13.8. Between the SHR short track program being less competitive than others, and Harvick already advancing via the Darlington win, but it's 2020 Harvick is a favorite.      Brad Keselowki - Keselowski has already advanced via his win at Richmond last Saturday night. Brad won the spring race through one of the craziest finishes in Bristol histor...